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                                                                 DRAFT PROGRAM OF THE 8TH 2BS FORUM

                                                                                          MAY 21-23, 2018

                                                                                          MONDAY, MAY 21, 2018

       19.30 – 21.00

                    WELCOMING RECEPTION (Upon Invitation Only)
                   
Venue: Hotel Splendid, Pool Area

                                                                                          TUESDAY, MAY 22, 2018

       10.00 – 10.30

 

            OFFICIAL OPENING:
           
Venue: Conference Hall Petrović, Splendid Hotel

Dr. Savo KENTERA, President of the Atlantic Council, Montenegro

Mr. Matthew PALMER, Acting Deputy Assistant Secretary, U.S. Department of State
 

OPENING KEYNOTE SPEECH:

H.E. Mr. Duško MARKOVIĆ, Prime Minister, Government of Montenegro

 
 

 

       10.30 – 12.00

 

PANEL I: WESTERN BALKANS BETWEEN UNRESOLVED PAST AND EMERGING CHALLENGES”

The overall situation in the region nowadays is much more different from the inception of the century. From the war outbreak in the 90s to the European and Euro-Atlantic integrations, the region has shown signs of considerable improvement. However the progress is still slow-moving, due to the unresolved problems from the past. Borders demarcation, Kosovo-Serbia dispute, high unemployment and corruption rate, inefficient judicial system, Macedonia's name issue, ethnic tensions and division in Bosnia are just some of the issues troubling WB countries. On the other hand, Turkey and Russia are rapidly developing their influence, as Balkans present both geostrategic and economic attraction. Among the six Western Balkan countries in the EU waiting room, only Serbia and Montenegro have started accession talks and they could be set to join by 2025, as was written in the recently published EU enlargement plan. Montenegro's accession to NATO last year demonstrated that the door remain open to other neighbors. Macedonia's membership to NATO is just around the corner, now when the name dispute with Greece is potentially coming to an end. But still there are a lot of major challenges and questions to be answered. Will Serbia and Kosovo resolve the dispute through compromise? Are European and Euro-Atlantic integrations simulative enough for Bosnia to solve never-ending divisions in the country? Which could be the economic impact on the region as a whole when the countries eventually join the EU? One thing is for sure: The EU cannot and will not import bilateral disputes.

 

KEYNOTE SPEECH:

H.E. Mr. Milo ĐUKANOVIĆ, President of Montenegro

 

Moderator:  Mr. Ali ASLAN, TV Presenter & Journalist, Deutsche Welle TV, Germany

 

Panelists:

H.E. Ms. Marina PENDEŠ, Minister, Ministry of Defence, Bosnia and Herzegovina

H.E. Mr. Krasimir KARAKACHANOV, Deputy Prime Minister for Public Order and Security and Minister of Defence, Bulgaria

H.E. Ms. Radmila SHEKERINSKA-JANKOVSKA, Deputy Prime Minister, Minister of Defence, Macedonia

H.E. Mr. Predrag BOŠKOVIĆ, Minister, Ministry of Defence, Montenegro

Mr. Damon WILSON, Executive Vice President, Atlantic Council, USA

 

Venue: Conference Hall Petrović, Splendid Hotel

 

       12.00 – 12.30

       Coffee break

       12.30 – 14.00

 

 

PANEL II: “EUROPE RIGHT NOW?

The economic crisis of 2008, debt crisis in southern member-states (especially Greece), Brexit, refugee and migrant crisis have brought criticism of supranational integration in the EU alongside the emphasizing of the economic insecurity. On the wings of euroscepticism and anti-immigration sentiment, populist right-wing parties have managed to attract voters from across the Europe. Sudden rise of right-wing parties in Germany, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia, Austria, France is weakening mainstream politics across the continent and shaking the pillars of the EU. Even though many thought that the fall of populist parties was inevitable, just finished elections in Italy demonstrated far-right, populist surge. The forecoming Swedish and Hungarian elections in 2018 will be a test for the current system. The international context requires a determined and strong Europe that stands strong by its values and beliefs. Does right-wing populism represent both long and short term challenge to democracy we know and current establishment in Europe? Is the future of European integrations at question?

KEYNOTE SPEECHES:

The Hon. Stéphane DION, Canada's Ambassador to Germany and Special Envoy to the European Union and Europe of the Prime Minister of Canada

 

Moderator: Ms. Carmen VALERO, Senior Correspondent in Germany and Eastern Europe, El Mundo

 

Panelists:

Mr. Tonino PICULA, MEP, European Parliament, Croatia

Mr. Momčilo RADULOVIĆ, President, European Movement in Montenegro

Mr. Radoslaw SIKORSKI, Senior Fellow, Center for European Studies at Harvard, Poland

Mr. Roman JAKIČ, Former Minister of Defence, Slovenia

 

Venue: Conference Hall Petrović, Splendid Hotel

       14.00 – 15.30

       Lunch

      15.30 – 17.00

 

 

PANEL III: “HAS U.S. FOREIGN POLICY SHIFTED UNDER TRUMP ADMINISTRATION?”

Since World War II, the Cold War and beyond, the United States has emerged as the center of an informal global empire. Today, it remains the largest single economic and military force in the world, and it boasts massive cultural and social influence across the globe. Following Trump’s election for President and his first year in office, we are witnessing more and more vocal statements that U.S. Foreign Policy is dramatically changing under new presidency. On the other hand there are those who claim that the rhetoric has changed but the substance, far less so. Analyzing the past year of the Trump administration, both continuity and shifts of the U.S. Foreign policy are present. We cannot simply overlook the changes we are witnessing, both in style, tone and staffing as well as the stance on Russia, North Korea, Iran, Afghanistan, Israel, trade (NAFTA renegotiation), climate (Paris Agreement), multilateral engagement, and so on. Will the moves of the new administration really call in question the continued pursuit of the three objectives that lie at the core of U.S. grand strategy: an overseas American presence, promoting a liberal economic order, and creating, sustaining, and revising the global institutional order? Is U.S. commitment to the Transatlantic Alliance indeed unwavering? What about relations with Russia?

Moderator: Mr. Simon SHUSTER, Europe Correspondent, TIME Magazine

Panelists:

Prof. Dr. Selmo CIKOTIĆ, Advisor, Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina

Mr. Michal BARANOWSKI, Director, Warsaw Office, The German Marshall Fund of the United States, Poland

Mr. Dragan ŠUTANOVAC, Former Minister of Defence, Serbia

Dr. Michael R. CARPENTER, Senior Director, Penn Biden Center for Diplomacy and Global Engagement, USA

 

Venue: Conference Hall Petrović, Splendid Hotel

      19.30 – 21.00

       Reception (Upon Invitation Only)
      

Hosted by  H.E. Mr. Predrag BOŠKOVIĆ, Minister of Defence, Montenegro

 

   Venue: Hotel Regent Porto Montenegro, Ballroom

                                                                                               WEDNESDAY, MAY 23, 2018

        10.00 – 11.30

 

PANEL IV: “DISINFORMATION IS A NEW INFORMATION?”
The issue of disinformation is complex, global and borderless. The information exchange is of a great significance for the protection of the society. Raising awareness of information technologies is necessary, online platforms and social networks must be responsible players of the fair Internet community. In the era of globalization, these media have a great responsibility to act against fake news in order to provide correct and credible information to their audience. The influence of Russia and Russian propaganda is widespread and especially reflected in the elections in Bulgaria, America, France, Montenegro, Italy. By providing and spreading disinformation, Russia has sought to weaken and loosen the political situation in these countries. Countering the Russian attacks should not be a fight "fire with fire". States should work on detecting disinformation and removing them. Disseminating Russian disinformation Montenegro was also affected by Russian propaganda. Making citizens well-informed and medially literate is of a great importance for raising security awareness in the country. How can citizens recognize disinformation, and how to identify reliable information and adapt to the challenges of the digital age? What should we do in order to suppress the spread of fake news? Which is the best way to defend ourselves from the content of disinformation?

Moderator: Mr. Steffen DOBBERT, Editor & Reporter, DIE ZEIT and ZEIT ONLINE, Germany

Panelists:

Mr. Boris REITSCHUSTER, Journalist, Germany

Mr. Robert PSZCZEL, Senior Officer for Russia and the Western Balkans, NATO PDD

Ms. Kateryna KRUK, Communications specialist, Ukraine

Mr. Brian WHITMORE, Senior Fellow and Director of the Russia Program, CEPA, USA

 

Venue: Conference Hall Petrović, Splendid Hotel

 

       11.30 – 12.00

        Coffee Break

         12.00 – 13.30
 

 

 *PANEL DISCUSSION ORGANIZED BY: INSTITUTE FOR SECURITY

 
 

PANEL V: „EXPLORING THE RELIGION-POLICY/SECURITY NEXUS”

Can the religious leadership and faith communities contribute to establishing a more secure environment especially in areas where peace and stability are at risk? Is there a compatibility of values among the institutions of the Euro-Atlantic community and the major faith traditions? Why/why not? Can the religious leadership and communities contribute to the deepening of democracy and protection of the rights and security of citizens? Can the security/policy and religious communities cooperate more effectively to addressing our most pressing common security challenges including issues such as delegitimizing the proliferation of violent extremist ideology and terrorism, migration, poverty, human trafficking, and others?

Moderator:

Dr. David KIRKHAM, Senior Fellow at the International Center for Law and Religion Studies at the BYU Law School and Academic Director of the BYU London Centre
 

Panelists:

H.E. Mr. Igor CRNADAK, Minister, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Bosnia and Herzegovina
 

Ms. Fatim-Zohra EL MALKI, Visiting Fellow, European Council on Foreign Relations
 

Venue: Conference Hall Petrović, Splendid Hotel